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Tory Wipe Out in Ealing on 3rd May

Having made a throw away comment in another thread about the Conservatives losing all their seats in Ealing borough in the local elections I thought I'd take a closer look just to see if it was a real possibility. Having done so I have to say that it is and that the Conservatives will certainly have a low single figure number of councillors and maybe even a big fat zero. Amazing to think that within the last decade they controlled the Council. I'm not saying that this is a good thing - in fact Council's overly dominated by one party don't tend to be particularly well run. Some very good and diligent councillors look set to lose their seats.On a ward by ward basis if you take Cleveland, Ealing Common and Northfield ward the national and London-wide swing against the party makes it very unlikely they will hold onto any of the seats there as their margin is small. One exception might be David Millican's seat in Northfield where is high personal vote combined with three opposition parties all thinking they have a chance might allow him to hang on.The two Tory 'safe' wards of Hanger Hill and Ealing Broadway present a real problem for them. They had the second and fourth highest percentage votes in the borough for Remain both over 70% In addition they have an extremely high proportion of EU citizens from other countries - 19.3% and 18.0% respectively as of the 2011 census. EU citizens can vote and the number resident will have gone up substantially over the last seven years. If they hang on in these wards it will be because the opposition vote is split three ways.

Andy Jones ● 3074d45 Comments ● 3056d